The Fed’s Industrial Production Report is a Disaster, Cyclical Data Signals Recession

The Fed’s Industrial Production Report is a Disaster, Cyclical Data Signals Recession

Please consider the Fed’s Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization Report for November.

Industrial production declined 0.2 percent in November. Decreases of 0.6 percent for manufacturing and 0.7 percent for mining were partly offset by a rebound of 3.6 percent for utilities following three months of declines. At 104.5 percent of its 2017 average, total industrial production in November was 2.5 percent above its year-earlier reading. Capacity utilization moved down 0.2 percentage point in November to 79.7 percent, a rate that is 0.1 percentage point above its long-run (1972–2021) average.

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